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This year, owing to the Millennium celebration on
1/1/2000, my annual forecasts for the year of the
Dragon was published earlier than usual. Such predictions
appeared in many different long and short versions
in various media - including the Feng Shui for Modern
Living Magazine, the Talkies Magazine, the SCMP.com,
Business Times, The Star, Be magazine¡Ketc.
So far some of these predictions have been quite accurate
and some needs further review and elaboration.
In my earlier release I have predicted flooding,
environmental disaster, and sickness related to breathing
organs. These parts seemed to be quite true - so far
we have seen flooding disaster at Mozambique, serious
leakage of cyanide from a Romanian gold mine into
the river Danube causing ¡§the most damaging
environmental disaster since Chernobyl¡¨,
and there is scare of flu, forest in Indonesia starts
burning again causing air quality problem¡K.
Etc.
Making such predictions is no mystery at all. I only
examined the pair of elements in the Chinese calendar
this year ¡§Metal and Earth¡¨
and make my logical deductions. Firstly - the metal
is mother of water and the Dragon is storage of water.
So this is a sign of flooding. Secondly, metal destroys
wood, which is a symbol of trees, and trees are symbols
of the environment - hence I predicted environmental
disaster. In this respect, it is so amazing that the
cyanide leakage in Romania came from a gold mine -
reflecting the disaster is actually caused by metal
element. Regarding breathing organ problems and air
quality problems, the Chinese traditional medicine
uses metal as a symbol of the lung and related breathing
organs. As metal appears so prominent in the calendar
this year, it is obvious a signal that the breathing
organs draw attention.
Also there has been a lot of fire disasters and explosions
occurring in Feb. 2000 this include forest fire and
volcano eruptions in the Philippines. These can also
be explained by Feng Shui flying stars. The year star
that goes into centre in 2000 is 9 which is a fire
number, and in February, the month star that went
into the centre is 5 which is a star of misfortune.
These 2 stars came together showed ¡§Fire
misfortune¡¨.
With respect to the economy, as predicted, the year
of the Dragon started off with a big boom in software
and Internet stocks. The NASDAQ has gone all time
high and Asian stock markets all enjoyed a bull atmosphere
and everybody is crazy about the new economy coming
to Asia. How can we understand such phenomenon in
metaphysical sense and what can we see about the future
prospect of such boom in the year of the Dragon?
Using metaphysical means to forecast the economy
is a very difficult task. The Chinese metaphysical
tools such as Feng Shui and Four Pillars of Destiny
are very ancient. The systems are only designed for
understanding individual behavior through examining
each person¡þs birthdata. They are never
intended for forecasting macro systems as complicated
as the stock market and the economy. On the other
hand, forecasting the economy is not totally impossible
as the market behavior is anything but reflecting
the collective luck of all the players. As such, if
we analyze the birthdata of the players, theoretically,
we can still deduce market trends by looking at the
money luck of the majority of the players. Take for
example, if most of the investors destiny are in favour
of the fire element, then a year of fire or a month
of fire, even a day of fire will bring them good money
luck. Hence the chance of seeing a bullish market
is stronger on those days, months and years. It is
on this basis that we can try to build up some metaphysical
understanding of the economic performance and make
some logical deductions about the market trend.
In my book ¡§Feng Shui and Destiny¡¨
published in 1992, there is a chapter on the stock
market and I hypothesized that fire element had been
the driving force behind the stock market in the past.
But as the global economy has been undergoing significant
changes since 1992, this theory needs modification.
In my article ¡§Dragon comes to Earth¡¨
appeared in the February issue of the ¡§Talkies¡¨
magazine, I said that fire element has been the driving
force of the old economy. However, this phenomenon,
with the outbreak of Asia currency crisis in 1997,¡¨
underwent a transformation in 1998 and 1999. It appears
that the process will be completed in 2000. Metal,
superseding fire, may then emerge as the driving force
of the Asian economy¡K¡¨
Why I choose metal to represent the hi-tech industries
of today? It is through considerable research into
the new generation of market leaders birthdata. And
the finding is that most of the important players
of the modern hi-tech industries are very strong in
metal and earth elements.
The followings are some examples:
| Mr. Bill Gates (Microsoft) |
- a water person born with in strong
metal season with plenty of earth elements. |
| Mr. Jerry Yang (Yahoo) |
- a strong metal person born in metal season
with strong earth and metal. |
| Mr. Jeff Bezos (Amazon) |
- a strong metal person born in earth month |
| Mr. Steve Case (AOL) |
- a strong metal person born in metal season
and in earth year |
| Michael Dell (Dell Computer) |
- a strong earth person with strong metal in
his luck |
| Richard Li (PCC Hong Kong) |
- a metal person with strong earth support. |
If these are representatives and big players of the
new economy, we can find some hints to understand
the new economy from a metaphysical angle. Firstly,
as metal and earth are very prominent in these peoples
destiny, I will pick metal and earth as symbolising
the new hi-tech industry. Secondly, as they are big
players and their luck will affect the performance
of the stock market, especially the NASDAQ, then through
looking at their favourable and unfavourable elements,
we can gain some hints about the market trend.
As most of these players are strong metal persons,
their money is represented by wood element, their
intelligence and skill is water element, and strong
metal element is their competitor and enemy. To generalize
- it means strong wood and water years, months and
days are more favourable to the NASDAQ than strong
metal and earth year, month and days. I have examined
the last 24 months historical record of the NASDAQ
and it appears matching well with this hypothesis.
The message is - the year of the Dragon is a year
of strong metal and earth, it means a year of strong
hi-tech activities. It also means a year of severe
competition with many people enter the market, and
the element is not favourable as heavy metal means
severe competition for the players. Early spring is
fine with strong wood bringing money, but it is necessary
to be careful, especially in metal months and metal
seasons. ( April, August, September, October).
I have to end this article with a warning - this
article is only an elementary academic study of the
technique of Four Pillars of Destiny and there are
many variables not explained nor accounted for in
the study. The idea is far from conclusive and should
not be relied on as a tool for speculation in the
stock market. To win or lose in the market is more
to do with ones individual fortune as reflected by
ones own birthdata. |